Recent posts

M2 money supply and stock market index

1 minute read

Here are the latest figures and context for the U.S. broad money supply (M2) and a major U.S. stock market index. A falling M2 often signals less liquidity i...

The VIX is still at a high level

2 minute read

The elevated level of the VIX suggests that investors remain concerned — particularly that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates high and that the econ...

Why Stocks Have Dropped

1 minute read

Markets are reacting to voices from the Fed that suggest fewer or later rate cuts than many investors expected. For example: “Traders slashed the odds of a D...

End of government shutdown

less than 1 minute read

The most recent 2025 United States federal government shutdown ended on November 12, 2025, when Donald Trump signed the funding bill to reopen the federal go...

K-shaped recovery

less than 1 minute read

A K-shaped recovery (or economy) is emerging now for a few key reasons — it’s not just one factor, but a combination that’s leading to a very uneven recovery...